8.5%: The Arbitrage of Probability in a Geopolitical Prediction Market
8.5%. That is the current market-implied probability that Iran and Israel wil...
Prediction Markets
•
BlockBear
•
2026-07-25
#arbitrage
arbitrage related articles
The Great Divergence: Russia's Regulatory Pause vs. America's Clarity Sprint
Arbitrage isn't a bug; it's a cultural audit of value. Right now, the most...
Academy
•
CryptoVault
•
2026-07-11
Whale Activity Spikes on Lighter and Mantle: Following the Gas, Not the Hype
Hook January 14, 2026 — 08:00 UTC. I pulled the Dune dashboard for Lighter...
Price Analysis
•
Bentoshi
•
2026-07-07
MSI 2026 Sweep: How Hanwha Life's 3-0 Exposed a Prediction Market Arb
On May 21, 2024, Hanwha Life Esports (HLE) swept G2 Esports in the MSI 2026...
Prediction Markets
•
CryptoTiger
•
2026-07-06
Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$62,778.2
-0.30%
ETH
Ethereum
$1,844.47
-1.02%
SOL
Solana
$71.86
-1.41%
BNB
BNB Chain
$575.6
-1.96%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.06
-0.27%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0692
-0.75%
ADA
Cardano
$0.1741
+3.26%
AVAX
Avalanche
$6.19
-3.30%
DOT
Polkadot
$0.7788
+2.57%
LINK
Chainlink
$8.06
-1.33%
Fear & Greed
27
Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202612
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
7x24h Flash News
More >
{{快讯列表(10)}}
{{loop}}
{{/loop}}
{{/快讯列表}}
{{快讯时间}}
{{快讯内容}}
{{快讯标签}}
Trending
Tools
All →Altseason Index
44
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$62,778.2
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,844.47
1
Solana
SOL
$71.86
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$575.6
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.06
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0692
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1741
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.19
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.7788
1
Chainlink
LINK
$8.06
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔴
0xe6a5...736c
30m ago
Out
5,005,427 DOGE
🟢
0x3e51...42c6
1h ago
In
1,810,966 USDC
🔴
0x617d...51bf
12m ago
Out
3,357,916 USDC
💡 Smart Money
0x2d3e...9e5f
Institutional Custody
+$3.3M
61%
0x6477...1e82
Institutional Custody
+$3.3M
66%
0x6893...092c
Early Investor
+$4.9M
94%